Frankfurt vs Dortmund Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 55.0 vs 61.2), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Frankfurt leads the attacking statistics, averaging 2.2 goals per game compared to Dortmund's 1.6 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Dortmund has the defensive edge, conceding 1.0 per match compared to Frankfurt's 1.7.

Frankfurt has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Dortmund has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Statistical modeling projects 3.2 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Dortmund has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 6.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 65% win probability for Dortmund. In practical terms, Dortmund would win 6 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Dortmund, with a 6.0-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

In the German Bundesliga (2026-05-08), Dortmund beat Frankfurt 3-2. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Dortmund secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 3-2 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Frankfurt will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Dortmund will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.