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Compare Elfsborg vs AIK

Elfsborg vs AIK Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Elfsborg vs AIK: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Elfsborg Elfsborg Home Team
AIK AIK Away Team
Elfsborg
45.7
D W W W L L L D D D

Last 10 Matches

AIK
55.7
W W L D W W W L W D

Performance Radar

Elfsborg
AIK

Categories Won

2

Elfsborg

3

Draw

10

AIK

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 4D, 3L

60%

6W, 2D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.3

13 / 10 matches

1.6

16 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.2

12 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+1

+1

+2

+2

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
M. Kamara (3 goals)
L. Carlstrand (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 7
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 10
Home Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

71%

5W / 7 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
50.2

League Difficulty: 50.0, Opponent Quality: 50.4

51.1

League Difficulty: 50.0, Opponent Quality: 51.8

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.33

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: -0.03

1.69

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: -0.09

Adjusted Power Rating
45.7

Attack: 43.4, Defense: 60.1, Form: 30.1

55.7

Attack: 53.9, Defense: 53.9, Form: 60.7

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

1
2

16-30'

2
2

31-45'

2

46-60'

4
3

61-75'

2
4

76-90+'

5
Elfsborg
AIK
Elfsborg

Power Rating Breakdown

45.7

Overall

Attack 43.4
Defense 60.1
Form 30.1
Consistency 57.7
AIK

Power Rating Breakdown

55.7

Overall

Attack 53.9
Defense 53.9
Form 60.7
Consistency 52.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

50.0 vs 50.0

Opponent Quality

50.4 vs 51.8

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Elfsborg logo Elfsborg
D
IFK Göteborg (52%)
W
Västerås (50%)
W
Mjällby (44%)
W
Malmö (56%)
L
Sirius (59%)
L
GAIS (51%)
L
Hammarby (59%)
D
Örgryte (44%)
AIK logo AIK
W
Djurgården (59%)
W
Örgryte (44%)
L
Örgryte (40%)
D
Häcken (55%)
W
GAIS (46%)
W
Mjällby (44%)
W
IFK Göteborg (52%)
L
Sirius (59%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
IFK Göteborg A
1 - 1 D
52%
Västerås H
3 - 0 W
50%
Mjällby A
1 - 0 W
44%
Malmö A
2 - 1 W
56%
Sirius H
1 - 3 L
59%
GAIS A
0 - 1 L
51%
Hammarby H
1 - 2 L
59%
Örgryte A
2 - 2 D
44%
Häcken H
1 - 1 D
50%
Mjällby H
1 - 1 D
39%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Djurgården A
3 - 1 W
59%
Örgryte A
4 - 3 W
44%
Örgryte H
0 - 3 L
40%
Häcken A
0 - 0 D
55%
GAIS H
2 - 0 W
46%
Mjällby A
2 - 1 W
44%
IFK Göteborg A
2 - 1 W
52%
Sirius H
0 - 3 L
59%
Hammarby A
2 - 1 W
64%
Västerås A
1 - 1 D
55%

AI Analysis

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 50.2 vs 51.1), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Offensively, AIK outperforms Elfsborg with 1.6 goals per match to 1.3, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

The defensive records are closely aligned, with Elfsborg giving up 1.2 and AIK giving up 1.4 per fixture.

Elfsborg has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

AIK has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

AIK is a strong road performer with a 71% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 2.8 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: AIK has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. AIK is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Elfsborg shows signs of decline with 3W in last 10.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, AIK faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.4 goals per match. If Elfsborg can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 10.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 75% win probability for AIK. In practical terms, AIK would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward AIK, with a 10.0-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Elfsborg

Elfsborg

VS
AIK

AIK

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Elfsborg

3W 4D 3L · 13 goals scored · 12 conceded

AIK

6W 2D 2L · 16 goals scored · 14 conceded

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