Elfsborg vs Örgryte Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

Elfsborg has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 50.4) compared to Örgryte (SoS: 37.6). This means Elfsborg's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Elfsborg averaging 1.2 and Örgryte averaging 0.9 goals per match.

Elfsborg holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 1.3 goals per game and recording 1 clean sheets, compared to Örgryte's leaky backline that surrenders 2.2 goals per match.

Elfsborg has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.8 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

❄️ Form Momentum: Elfsborg is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

❄️ Form Momentum: Örgryte is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Elfsborg faces a key vulnerability: they have kept only 1 clean sheets in their last 10 matches. If Örgryte can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 14.8-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Elfsborg. In practical terms, Elfsborg would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

While Elfsborg holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 14.8-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

These two teams drew 2-2 in the Swedish Allsvenskan (2026-05-29). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.