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Compare Elversberg vs Viktoria Köln

Elversberg vs Viktoria Köln Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Elversberg vs Viktoria Köln: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Elversberg Elversberg Home Team
Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln Away Team
Elversberg
64.8
W W D W L

Last 10 Matches

Viktoria Köln
61.5
D L W W W

Performance Radar

Elversberg
Viktoria Köln

Categories Won

7

Elversberg

5

Draw

3

Viktoria Köln

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

3W, 1D, 1L

60%

3W, 1D, 1L

Goals Scored / Match
2.8

14 / 5 matches

2.4

12 / 5 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.4

7 / 5 matches

1.4

7 / 5 matches

Goal Difference
+7

+7

+5

+5

Clean Sheet
0%

0 / 5 matches

20%

1 / 5 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
80%

4 / 5 matches

80%

4 / 5 matches

Both Teams to Score
100%

5 / 5 matches

80%

4 / 5 matches

Top Scorer
F. Onyeka (2 goals)
M. Sponsel (1 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 1 / 2nd Half: 13
1st Half: 0 / 2nd Half: 12
Home Win Rate
100%

1W / 1 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

100%

2W / 2 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
46.0

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 46.6

47.0

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 48.4

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.64

Actual: 2.8 | Diff: +0.16

2.14

Actual: 2.4 | Diff: +0.26

Adjusted Power Rating
64.8

Attack: 89.6, Defense: 51.2, Form: 57.6

61.5

Attack: 77.6, Defense: 51.7, Form: 58.2

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

1

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

2

76-90+'

1
Elversberg
Viktoria Köln
Elversberg

Power Rating Breakdown

64.8

Overall

Attack 89.6
Defense 51.2
Form 57.6
Consistency 52.0
Viktoria Köln

Power Rating Breakdown

61.5

Overall

Attack 77.6
Defense 51.7
Form 58.2
Consistency 52.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

45.0 vs 45.0

Opponent Quality

46.6 vs 48.4

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Elversberg logo Elversberg
W
Duisburg (45%)
W
Lorient (41%)
D
Mallorca (58%)
W
Strasbourg (35%)
L
Viktoria Köln (54%)
Viktoria Köln logo Viktoria Köln
D
1.FCN (48%)
L
Kaiserslautern (51%)
W
Standard (49%)
W
VVV (42%)
W
Elversberg (52%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Duisburg A
3 - 1 W
45%
Lorient H
4 - 1 W
41%
Mallorca A
1 - 1 D
58%
Strasbourg A
5 - 2 W
35%
Viktoria Köln A
1 - 2 L
54%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
1.FCN H
1 - 1 D
48%
Kaiserslautern H
1 - 2 L
51%
Standard A
3 - 0 W
49%
VVV A
5 - 3 W
42%
Elversberg H
2 - 1 W
52%

AI Analysis

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but when we adjust for opponent quality, the picture becomes even more intriguing. Both teams have earned their statistics against comparable opposition.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 46.0 vs 47.0), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Elversberg holds the attacking edge with 2.8 goals per match versus Viktoria Köln's 2.4, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

The defensive records are closely aligned, with Elversberg giving up 1.4 and Viktoria Köln giving up 1.4 per fixture.

Elversberg has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Viktoria Köln has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Elversberg has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Viktoria Köln is a strong road performer with a 100% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 4.0 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Elversberg faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.4 goals per match. If Viktoria Köln can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: Viktoria Köln's superior Strength of Schedule means their statistics were earned against tougher opponents. A team that performs well against strong opposition is more likely to maintain that level in any given match.

In their recent Club Friendlies match (2026-07-17), Viktoria Köln prevailed 2-1 against Elversberg. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Viktoria Köln secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Elversberg will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Viktoria Köln will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Elversberg

Elversberg

VS
Viktoria Köln

Viktoria Köln

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Elversberg

3W 1D 1L · 14 goals scored · 7 conceded

Viktoria Köln

3W 1D 1L · 12 goals scored · 7 conceded

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