England vs Ukraine Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

England has earned their numbers the hard way, posting a SoS of 56.4 against considerably stronger competition than Ukraine (SoS: 45.6). Their figures deserve greater analytical credence as a result — forged against genuinely difficult opponents.

England possess a formidable attacking unit, with G. Stanway accounting for 9 goals and the squad maintaining an impressive 2.7 goals per game — a threat no opponent can afford to overlook.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for England — 0.7 goals conceded per game and 7 clean sheets put them well ahead of Ukraine, who give up 2.4 goals per match at the other end.

England has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Ukraine has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

England has an exceptional home record with a 86% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

England is a strong road performer with a 67% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.4 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.

🔥 Form Momentum: England is in scorching form, winning 8 of their last 10 matches with 27 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

❄️ Form Momentum: Ukraine is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. England is on the rise with 8W in last 10, while Ukraine shows signs of decline with 2W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 55.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for England. In practical terms, England would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Accounting for opponent quality throughout our evaluation, England emerges as the heavy favorite by every measurable indicator. A power rating of 83.2 compared to 28.0, combined with across-the-board statistical superiority, projects England as the likely winner and by a comfortable margin.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams met recently in the Women's European World Cup Qualifiers (2026-06-09): England defeated Ukraine 3-0. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates England's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Ukraine. England secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 3-0 scoreline was emphatic — England completely dominated Ukraine in that encounter, raising serious questions about Ukraine's ability to compete at this level. Ukraine will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. England will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams met recently in the Women's European World Cup Qualifiers (2026-03-03): England defeated Ukraine 1-6. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates England's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Ukraine. Notably, England achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Ukraine shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 1-6 scoreline was emphatic — England completely dominated Ukraine in that encounter, raising serious questions about Ukraine's ability to compete at this level. Ukraine will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. England will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.