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Compare Estoril vs Rayo

Estoril vs Rayo Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Estoril vs Rayo: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Estoril Estoril Home Team
Rayo Rayo Away Team
Estoril
35.7
L D D L L L L L W D

Last 10 Matches

Rayo
74.0
L W W D D W W W D W

Performance Radar

Estoril
Rayo

Categories Won

2

Estoril

1

Draw

12

Rayo

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
10%

1W, 3D, 6L

60%

6W, 3D, 1L

Goals Scored / Match
0.8

8 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

0.7

7 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-7

-7

+7

+7

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Y. Begraoui (3 goals)
Sergio Camello (5 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 4
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 9
Home Win Rate
0%

0W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
54.2

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 64.7

76.7

League Difficulty: 88.5, Opponent Quality: 64.4

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 2 matches

75%

3W / 4 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
0.9

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.1

1.79

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.39

Adjusted Power Rating
35.7

Attack: 27.8, Defense: 52.1, Form: 10.4

74.0

Attack: 59.1, Defense: 97.1, Form: 76.0

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

1

16-30'

3
1

31-45'

2
1

46-60'

2

61-75'

2
3

76-90+'

5
Estoril
Rayo
Estoril

Power Rating Breakdown

35.7

Overall

Attack 27.8
Defense 52.1
Form 10.4
Consistency 74.8
Rayo

Power Rating Breakdown

74.0

Overall

Attack 59.1
Defense 97.1
Form 76.0
Consistency 61.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

79.0 vs 88.5

Opponent Quality

64.7 vs 64.4

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 75%
Estoril logo Estoril
L
Benfica (76%)
D
Alverca (62%)
D
Braga (69%)
L
Famalicão (71%)
L
Moreirense (55%)
L
Porto (69%)
L
Arouca (67%)
L
Rio Ave (61%)
Rayo logo Rayo
L
Crystal Palace (60%)
W
Alavés (72%)
W
Villarreal (72%)
D
Valencia (75%)
D
Girona (56%)
W
Strasbourg (62%)
W
Getafe (72%)
W
Strasbourg (57%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Benfica H
1 - 3 L
76%
Alverca A
1 - 1 D
62%
Braga A
1 - 1 D
69%
Famalicão H
0 - 1 L
71%
Moreirense A
0 - 1 L
55%
Porto H
1 - 3 L
69%
Arouca A
2 - 3 L
67%
Rio Ave H
1 - 2 L
61%
Nacional A
1 - 0 W
62%
Casa Pia H
0 - 0 D
55%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Crystal Palace A
0 - 1 L
60%
Alavés A
2 - 1 W
72%
Villarreal H
2 - 0 W
72%
Valencia A
1 - 1 D
75%
Girona H
1 - 1 D
56%
Strasbourg A
1 - 0 W
62%
Getafe A
2 - 0 W
72%
Strasbourg H
1 - 0 W
57%
Real Sociedad H
3 - 3 D
61%
Espanyol H
1 - 0 W
57%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Rayo has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 76.7) compared to Estoril (SoS: 54.2). This means Rayo's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Rayo holds the attacking edge with 1.4 goals per match versus Estoril's 0.8, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Defensively, Rayo is far superior, conceding just 0.7 goals per match with 5 clean sheets, while Estoril leaks 1.5 per match.

Rayo has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 3 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Rayo is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.2 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Rayo is the clear and decisive favorite. Their superiority across attack (59.1), defense (97.1), and form (76.0) leaves little room for doubt. Estoril will need an exceptional performance to compete.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Estoril

Estoril

VS
Rayo

Rayo

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Estoril

1W 3D 6L · 8 goals scored · 15 conceded

Rayo

6W 3D 1L · 14 goals scored · 7 conceded

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