Everton vs Arsenal Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (43.7 vs 44.9), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Few sides can match Arsenal in front of goal. Their 2.3 average per fixture tells the story, with A. Russo driving that output personally responsible for 8 goals this campaign.

Both defenses are comparable, with Everton conceding 1.4 and Arsenal conceding 1.1 per match.

Everton has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Arsenal has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Arsenal has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

📈 Form Momentum: Everton has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Arsenal has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 17.7-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Arsenal. In practical terms, Arsenal would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Arsenal in this contest. Their superior power rating of 60.4, compared to 42.7 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

In their recent Women's Super League match (2026-05-13), Arsenal prevailed 1-0 against Everton. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Arsenal secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 1-0 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Everton will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Arsenal will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.