Everton vs Chelsea Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 43.7 vs 45.4), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Chelsea leads the attacking statistics, averaging 2.1 goals per game compared to Everton's 1.2 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Both defenses are comparable, with Everton conceding 1.4 and Chelsea conceding 1.4 per match.

Everton has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Chelsea has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Chelsea has an exceptional home record with a 83% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

📈 Form Momentum: Everton has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

🔥 Form Momentum: Chelsea is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 21 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Chelsea faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.4 goals per match. If Everton can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 18.1-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Chelsea. In practical terms, Chelsea would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Chelsea emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (60.8 vs 42.7) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

In their recent Women's Super League match (2026-04-26), Chelsea prevailed 1-4 against Everton. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Chelsea achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Everton shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 1-4 scoreline was emphatic — Chelsea completely dominated Everton in that encounter, raising serious questions about Everton's ability to compete at this level. Everton will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Chelsea will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.