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Compare Excelsior vs Ajax

Excelsior vs Ajax Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Excelsior vs Ajax: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Excelsior Excelsior Home Team
Ajax Ajax Away Team
Excelsior
52.5
W W D W W D L D L L

Last 10 Matches

Ajax
57.1
W W W D D W D L D W

Performance Radar

Excelsior
Ajax

Categories Won

6

Excelsior

2

Draw

7

Ajax

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 3D, 3L

50%

5W, 4D, 1L

Goals Scored / Match
2.0

20 / 10 matches

1.6

16 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+5

+5

+8

+8

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
80%

8 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
D. Sanches Fernandes (5 goals)
D. Klaassen (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 13
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 8
Home Win Rate
25%

1W / 4 matches

43%

3W / 7 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

3W / 6 matches

67%

2W / 3 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
50.9

League Difficulty: 76.5, Opponent Quality: 58.0

47.1

League Difficulty: 69.3, Opponent Quality: 55.4

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.44

Actual: 2.0 | Diff: -0.44

1.76

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: -0.16

Adjusted Power Rating
52.5

Attack: 67.3, Defense: 50.4, Form: 40.4

57.1

Attack: 51.8, Defense: 71.2, Form: 48.6

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

3
2

16-30'

2
3

31-45'

3
3

46-60'

2
4

61-75'

1
3

76-90+'

5
Excelsior
Ajax
Excelsior

Power Rating Breakdown

52.5

Overall

Attack 67.3
Defense 50.4
Form 40.4
Consistency 50.5
Ajax

Power Rating Breakdown

57.1

Overall

Attack 51.8
Defense 71.2
Form 48.6
Consistency 61.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

76.5 vs 69.3

Opponent Quality

58.0 vs 55.4

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Excelsior logo Excelsior
W
NAC (40%)
W
Sparta (50%)
D
Volendam (57%)
W
Groningen (58%)
W
Utrecht (66%)
D
Zwolle (54%)
L
NEC (73%)
D
Heracles (41%)
Ajax logo Ajax
W
Burnley (24%)
W
Vojvodina (67%)
W
Olympiakos (41%)
D
Bochum (45%)
D
Utrecht (66%)
W
Groningen (53%)
D
Heerenveen (68%)
L
Utrecht (66%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
NAC A
3 - 1 W
40%
Sparta A
3 - 2 W
50%
Volendam H
1 - 1 D
57%
Groningen A
3 - 2 W
58%
Utrecht H
5 - 0 W
66%
Zwolle A
2 - 2 D
54%
NEC H
0 - 2 L
73%
Heracles A
1 - 1 D
41%
Feyenoord A
1 - 2 L
78%
Heerenveen H
1 - 2 L
63%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Burnley H
2 - 1 W
24%
Vojvodina A
4 - 1 W
67%
Olympiakos H
1 - 0 W
41%
Bochum H
1 - 1 D
45%
Utrecht H
1 - 1 D
66%
Groningen H
2 - 0 W
53%
Heerenveen A
0 - 0 D
68%
Utrecht H
1 - 2 L
66%
PSV H
2 - 2 D
70%
NAC A
2 - 0 W
54%

AI Analysis

Two well-matched sides make for a compelling statistical comparison here. Surface-level metrics only scratch the surface — once we factor in strength of schedule, the analysis gains real depth. The numbers both teams have posted reflect performances against broadly similar competition.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 50.9 vs 47.1), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Excelsior leads the attacking statistics, averaging 2.0 goals per game compared to Ajax's 1.6 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Defensively, Ajax holds the advantage — allowing just 0.8 goals per game against Excelsior's 1.5.

Ajax is a strong road performer with a 67% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.9 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Excelsior has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Ajax has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: Excelsior's superior Strength of Schedule means their statistics were earned against tougher opponents. A team that performs well against strong opposition is more likely to maintain that level in any given match.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Excelsior

Excelsior

VS
Ajax

Ajax

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Excelsior

4W 3D 3L · 20 goals scored · 15 conceded

Ajax

5W 4D 1L · 16 goals scored · 8 conceded

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