Exeter vs Cardiff Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Exeter vs Cardiff: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Exeter
Home Team
Cardiff
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Exeter
Draw
Cardiff
Statistical Comparison
2W, 4D, 4L
6W, 3D, 1L
12 / 10 matches
28 / 10 matches
12 / 10 matches
11 / 10 matches
0
+17
3 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
1W / 4 matches
4W / 5 matches
1W / 6 matches
2W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 51.7
League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 47.8
0W / 0 matches
0W / 0 matches
Actual: 1.2 | Diff: -0.07
Actual: 2.8 | Diff: -0.14
Attack: 39.6, Defense: 59.4, Form: 19.8
Attack: 90.3, Defense: 61.2, Form: 58.0
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Exeter
Cardiff
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.
The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 49.0 vs 46.7), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.
Cardiff's attack is on another level, averaging 2.8 goals per match with O. Kellyman leading the charge (4 goals). This firepower makes them dangerous in any fixture.
Defensively, Exeter and Cardiff are evenly matched, allowing 1.2 and 1.1 goals per game respectively.
Exeter has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Cardiff has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Cardiff has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.
Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.1 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.
❄️ Form Momentum: Exeter is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
📈 Form Momentum: Cardiff has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.1 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Cardiff is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Exeter shows signs of decline with 2W in last 10.
💡 Why This Matters: The 26.7-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Cardiff. In practical terms, Cardiff would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
Cardiff emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (69.0 vs 42.3) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Exeter
Cardiff
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Exeter
2W 4D 4L · 12 goals scored · 12 conceded
Cardiff
6W 3D 1L · 28 goals scored · 11 conceded
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