Eyüp vs Fenerbahçe Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

Fenerbahçe has earned their numbers the hard way, posting a SoS of 75.6 against considerably stronger competition than Eyüp (SoS: 44.7). Their figures deserve greater analytical credence as a result — forged against genuinely difficult opponents.

Fenerbahçe holds the attacking edge with 2.3 goals per match versus Eyüp's 1.8, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Eyüp conceding 1.1 and Fenerbahçe conceding 1.1 per match.

Fenerbahçe is a strong road performer with a 75% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 3.2 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Eyüp has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

🔥 Form Momentum: Fenerbahçe is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 23 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

💡 Why This Matters: The 30.5-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Fenerbahçe. In practical terms, Fenerbahçe would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Accounting for opponent quality throughout our evaluation, Fenerbahçe emerges as the heavy favorite by every measurable indicator. A power rating of 84.7 compared to 54.2, combined with across-the-board statistical superiority, projects Fenerbahçe as the likely winner and by a comfortable margin.

These two teams drew 3-3 in the Turkish Super Lig (2026-05-17). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.