Falkirk vs Dundee Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Falkirk vs Dundee: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Falkirk
Home Team
Dundee
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Falkirk
Draw
Dundee
Statistical Comparison
4W, 1D, 5L
6W, 1D, 3L
15 / 10 matches
22 / 10 matches
16 / 10 matches
15 / 10 matches
-1
+7
4 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
3W / 6 matches
5W / 6 matches
1W / 4 matches
1W / 4 matches
League Difficulty: 57.5, Opponent Quality: 53.4
League Difficulty: 57.5, Opponent Quality: 54.7
0W / 2 matches
1W / 2 matches
Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.02
Actual: 2.2 | Diff: 0.0
Attack: 45.9, Defense: 42.8, Form: 36.7
Attack: 76.7, Defense: 52.3, Form: 62.8
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Falkirk
Dundee
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.
Dundee has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 54.6) compared to Falkirk (SoS: 41.7). This means Dundee's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.
Offensively, Dundee outperforms Falkirk with 2.2 goals per match to 1.5, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.
Defensively, Falkirk and Dundee are evenly matched, allowing 1.6 and 1.5 goals per game respectively.
Dundee has an exceptional home record with a 83% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.
Statistical modeling projects 3.4 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.
📈 Form Momentum: Dundee has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Dundee faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.5 goals per match. If Falkirk can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.
💡 Why This Matters: The 20.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Dundee. In practical terms, Dundee would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
Based on the available data, Dundee holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 61.4 against 41.4 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Falkirk
Dundee
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Falkirk
4W 1D 5L · 15 goals scored · 16 conceded
Dundee
6W 1D 3L · 22 goals scored · 15 conceded
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