Falkirk vs Kilmarnock Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Falkirk vs Kilmarnock: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Falkirk
Home Team
Kilmarnock
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Falkirk
Draw
Kilmarnock
Statistical Comparison
4W, 1D, 5L
6W, 3D, 1L
15 / 10 matches
17 / 10 matches
16 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
-1
+12
4 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
3W / 6 matches
3W / 5 matches
1W / 4 matches
3W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 57.5, Opponent Quality: 53.4
League Difficulty: 60.0, Opponent Quality: 57.6
0W / 2 matches
0W / 1 matches
Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.02
Actual: 1.7 | Diff: -0.01
Attack: 45.9, Defense: 42.8, Form: 36.7
Attack: 53.4, Defense: 78.5, Form: 56.5
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Falkirk
Kilmarnock
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.
Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 41.7 vs 44.2), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.
Falkirk (1.5 goals per match) and Kilmarnock (1.7 goals per match) present comparable offensive threats, making this an evenly contested attacking matchup.
The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Kilmarnock — 0.5 goals conceded per game and 6 clean sheets put them well ahead of Falkirk, who give up 1.6 goals per match at the other end.
Kilmarnock is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.
Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.6 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking unlikely given current form.
📈 Form Momentum: Kilmarnock has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.1 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
💡 Why This Matters: The 20.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Kilmarnock. In practical terms, Kilmarnock would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
The numbers point firmly toward Kilmarnock in this contest. Their superior power rating of 61.8, compared to 41.4 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Falkirk
Kilmarnock
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Falkirk
4W 1D 5L · 15 goals scored · 16 conceded
Kilmarnock
6W 3D 1L · 17 goals scored · 5 conceded
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