Falkirk vs St. Mirren Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Falkirk vs St. Mirren: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Falkirk
Home Team
St. Mirren
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Falkirk
Draw
St. Mirren
Statistical Comparison
4W, 1D, 5L
5W, 2D, 3L
15 / 10 matches
17 / 10 matches
16 / 10 matches
10 / 10 matches
-1
+7
4 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
3W / 6 matches
2W / 5 matches
1W / 4 matches
3W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 57.5, Opponent Quality: 53.4
League Difficulty: 60.0, Opponent Quality: 59.5
0W / 2 matches
1W / 3 matches
Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.02
Actual: 1.7 | Diff: -0.14
Attack: 45.9, Defense: 42.8, Form: 36.7
Attack: 58.4, Defense: 68.7, Form: 51.6
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Falkirk
St. Mirren
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.
Context matters here: St. Mirren's schedule strength (SoS: 53.1) has been notably more demanding than Falkirk's (SoS: 41.7), meaning their underlying stats reflect performance against higher-calibre opposition and should be weighted accordingly.
The attacking output of Falkirk and St. Mirren is virtually identical, with both sides posting averages of 1.5 and 1.7 goals per game respectively.
Defensively, St. Mirren holds the advantage — allowing just 1.0 goals per game against Falkirk's 1.6.
St. Mirren has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
St. Mirren is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.
Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.9 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being unlikely.
📈 Form Momentum: St. Mirren has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
💡 Why This Matters: The 15.6-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for St. Mirren. In practical terms, St. Mirren would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
Based on the available data, St. Mirren holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 57.0 against 41.4 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Falkirk
St. Mirren
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Falkirk
4W 1D 5L · 15 goals scored · 16 conceded
St. Mirren
5W 2D 3L · 17 goals scored · 10 conceded
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