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Compare Famalicão vs Tondela

Famalicão vs Tondela Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Famalicão vs Tondela: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Famalicão Famalicão Home Team
Tondela Tondela Away Team
Famalicão
50.5
W D D W W D D W D D

Last 10 Matches

Tondela
42.6
L L W D W L W W D L

Performance Radar

Famalicão
Tondela

Categories Won

6

Famalicão

4

Draw

5

Tondela

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 6D, 0L

40%

4W, 2D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match
0.9

9 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.5

5 / 10 matches

1.2

12 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+4

+4

-1

-1

Clean Sheet
70%

7 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
20%

2 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
30%

3 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
U. Abubakar (2 goals)
Rony Lopes (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 1 / 2nd Half: 8
1st Half: 1 / 2nd Half: 10
Home Win Rate
43%

3W / 7 matches

50%

3W / 6 matches

Away Win Rate
33%

1W / 3 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
45.1

League Difficulty: 65.4, Opponent Quality: 54.0

44.4

League Difficulty: 62.0, Opponent Quality: 56.0

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 1 matches

0%

0W / 2 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
0.93

Actual: 0.9 | Diff: -0.03

1.04

Actual: 1.1 | Diff: +0.06

Adjusted Power Rating
50.5

Attack: 28.5, Defense: 79.3, Form: 38.0

42.6

Attack: 34.6, Defense: 56.6, Form: 37.8

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

1
1

31-45'

1

46-60'

1
3

61-75'

2
2

76-90+'

2
Famalicão
Tondela
Famalicão

Power Rating Breakdown

50.5

Overall

Attack 28.5
Defense 79.3
Form 38.0
Consistency 71.2
Tondela

Power Rating Breakdown

42.6

Overall

Attack 34.6
Defense 56.6
Form 37.8
Consistency 44.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

65.4 vs 62.0

Opponent Quality

54.0 vs 56.0

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Famalicão logo Famalicão
W
Tondela (45%)
D
Arouca (54%)
D
Penafiel (42%)
W
Lourosa (40%)
W
Alverca (62%)
D
Estrela (56%)
D
Benfica (75%)
W
Estoril (47%)
Tondela logo Tondela
L
Beira-Mar (47%)
L
Famalicão (60%)
W
Académica (39%)
D
Nacional (43%)
W
Varzim (43%)
L
Arouca (72%)
W
Moreirense (53%)
W
Casa Pia (63%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Tondela H
1 - 0 W
45%
Arouca H
0 - 0 D
54%
Penafiel H
0 - 0 D
42%
Lourosa H
1 - 0 W
40%
Alverca H
1 - 0 W
62%
Estrela A
0 - 0 D
56%
Benfica H
2 - 2 D
75%
Estoril A
1 - 0 W
47%
Braga A
2 - 2 D
66%
Moreirense H
1 - 1 D
53%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Beira-Mar H
1 - 2 L
47%
Famalicão A
0 - 1 L
60%
Académica H
2 - 1 W
39%
Nacional H
1 - 1 D
43%
Varzim H
1 - 0 W
43%
Arouca A
1 - 3 L
72%
Moreirense H
2 - 0 W
53%
Casa Pia A
1 - 0 W
63%
Sporting A
2 - 2 D
83%
Nacional H
0 - 2 L
57%

AI Analysis

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 45.1 vs 44.4), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Famalicão averaging 0.9 and Tondela averaging 1.1 goals per match.

Famalicão has the defensive edge, conceding 0.5 per match compared to Tondela's 1.2.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 1.9 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

📈 Form Momentum: Famalicão has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 7.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 70% win probability for Famalicão. In practical terms, Famalicão would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

While Famalicão holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 7.9-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

In their recent Club Friendlies match (2026-07-25), Famalicão prevailed 1-0 against Tondela. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Famalicão secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 1-0 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Tondela will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Famalicão will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Famalicão

Famalicão

VS
Tondela

Tondela

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Famalicão

4W 6D 0L · 9 goals scored · 5 conceded

Tondela

4W 2D 4L · 11 goals scored · 12 conceded

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