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Compare Farnborough vs Bath

Farnborough vs Bath Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Farnborough vs Bath: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Farnborough Farnborough Home Team
Bath Bath Away Team
Farnborough
46.3
L W L W W L D W W L

Last 10 Matches

Bath
36.1
D L L W L W L W L D

Performance Radar

Farnborough
Bath

Categories Won

11

Farnborough

2

Draw

2

Bath

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 1D, 4L

30%

3W, 2D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
2.4

24 / 10 matches

1.6

16 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
2.0

20 / 10 matches

2.2

22 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+4

+4

-6

-6

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
80%

8 / 10 matches

90%

9 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
80%

8 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
M. Bloomfield (5 goals)
S. Wilson (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 14
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 8
Home Win Rate
50%

3W / 6 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
35.6

League Difficulty: 31.5, Opponent Quality: 38.3

40.6

League Difficulty: 33.0, Opponent Quality: 45.7

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.99

Actual: 2.4 | Diff: +0.41

1.4

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: +0.2

Adjusted Power Rating
46.3

Attack: 68.5, Defense: 28.5, Form: 42.8

36.1

Attack: 48.3, Defense: 24.2, Form: 27.2

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

3
3

16-30'

3
5

31-45'

2
5

46-60'

2
7

61-75'

1
2

76-90+'

3
Farnborough
Bath
Farnborough

Power Rating Breakdown

46.3

Overall

Attack 68.5
Defense 28.5
Form 42.8
Consistency 38.8
Bath

Power Rating Breakdown

36.1

Overall

Attack 48.3
Defense 24.2
Form 27.2
Consistency 49.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

31.5 vs 33.0

Opponent Quality

38.3 vs 45.7

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Farnborough logo Farnborough
L
Aldershot (42%)
W
Totton (43%)
L
Tonbridge (42%)
W
Dover (25%)
W
Horsham (33%)
L
Hampton & RB (44%)
D
Hornchurch (53%)
W
Chelmsford (40%)
Bath logo Bath
D
Newport (45%)
L
Plymouth (62%)
L
Maidstone (57%)
W
Dorking (39%)
L
Totton (43%)
W
Chesham (43%)
L
Torquay (53%)
W
Chippenham (38%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Aldershot A
1 - 2 L
42%
Totton A
6 - 1 W
43%
Tonbridge H
1 - 6 L
42%
Dover A
3 - 1 W
25%
Horsham H
2 - 0 W
33%
Hampton & RB A
1 - 3 L
44%
Hornchurch H
2 - 2 D
53%
Chelmsford H
4 - 2 W
40%
Slough H
2 - 0 W
21%
Dag & Red H
2 - 3 L
40%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Newport H
2 - 2 D
45%
Plymouth H
0 - 3 L
62%
Maidstone H
2 - 3 L
57%
Dorking A
3 - 1 W
39%
Totton A
1 - 2 L
43%
Chesham H
4 - 2 W
43%
Torquay A
1 - 4 L
53%
Chippenham H
1 - 0 W
38%
Maidenhead A
0 - 3 L
48%
Eastbourne A
2 - 2 D
29%

AI Analysis

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 35.6 vs 40.6), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Offensively, Farnborough outperforms Bath with 2.4 goals per match to 1.6, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

Defensively, Farnborough and Bath are evenly matched, allowing 2.0 and 2.2 goals per game respectively.

Farnborough has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Bath has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Statistical modeling projects 4.1 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Farnborough has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Farnborough faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 2.0 goals per match. If Bath can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 10.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 76% win probability for Farnborough. In practical terms, Farnborough would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Farnborough has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 10.2-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Farnborough

Farnborough

VS
Bath

Bath

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Farnborough

5W 1D 4L · 24 goals scored · 20 conceded

Bath

3W 2D 5L · 16 goals scored · 22 conceded

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