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Compare Farnborough vs Dover

Farnborough vs Dover Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Farnborough vs Dover: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Farnborough Farnborough Home Team
Dover Dover Away Team
Farnborough
46.3
L W L W W L D W W L

Last 10 Matches

Dover
26.3
L D L L L L L L W L

Performance Radar

Farnborough
Dover

Categories Won

10

Farnborough

4

Draw

1

Dover

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 1D, 4L

10%

1W, 1D, 8L

Goals Scored / Match
2.4

24 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
2.0

20 / 10 matches

2.3

23 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+4

+4

-15

-15

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

0%

0 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
80%

8 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
80%

8 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
M. Bloomfield (5 goals)
G. Nikaj (5 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 14
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 4
Home Win Rate
50%

3W / 6 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
35.6

League Difficulty: 31.5, Opponent Quality: 38.3

39.7

League Difficulty: 31.5, Opponent Quality: 45.1

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.99

Actual: 2.4 | Diff: +0.41

0.65

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: +0.15

Adjusted Power Rating
46.3

Attack: 68.5, Defense: 28.5, Form: 42.8

26.3

Attack: 23.9, Defense: 20.9, Form: 9.0

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

2
3

16-30'

1
5

31-45'

1
5

46-60'

1
7

61-75'

2

76-90+'

3
Farnborough
Dover
Farnborough

Power Rating Breakdown

46.3

Overall

Attack 68.5
Defense 28.5
Form 42.8
Consistency 38.8
Dover

Power Rating Breakdown

26.3

Overall

Attack 23.9
Defense 20.9
Form 9.0
Consistency 74.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

31.5 vs 31.5

Opponent Quality

38.3 vs 45.1

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Farnborough logo Farnborough
L
Aldershot (42%)
W
Totton (43%)
L
Tonbridge (42%)
W
Dover (25%)
W
Horsham (33%)
L
Hampton & RB (44%)
D
Hornchurch (53%)
W
Chelmsford (40%)
Dover logo Dover
L
Gillingham (45%)
D
Chesham (43%)
L
Maidenhead (48%)
L
Farnborough (43%)
L
Ebbsfleet (48%)
L
Maidstone (57%)
L
Salisbury (46%)
L
Enfield T (38%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Aldershot A
1 - 2 L
42%
Totton A
6 - 1 W
43%
Tonbridge H
1 - 6 L
42%
Dover A
3 - 1 W
25%
Horsham H
2 - 0 W
33%
Hampton & RB A
1 - 3 L
44%
Hornchurch H
2 - 2 D
53%
Chelmsford H
4 - 2 W
40%
Slough H
2 - 0 W
21%
Dag & Red H
2 - 3 L
40%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Gillingham H
0 - 3 L
45%
Chesham H
2 - 2 D
43%
Maidenhead A
0 - 1 L
48%
Farnborough H
1 - 3 L
43%
Ebbsfleet A
0 - 4 L
48%
Maidstone H
0 - 2 L
57%
Salisbury A
1 - 2 L
46%
Enfield T A
1 - 3 L
38%
Chelmsford A
2 - 1 W
45%
Chippenham H
1 - 2 L
38%

AI Analysis

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (35.6 vs 39.7), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Farnborough's attack is on another level, averaging 2.4 goals per match with M. Bloomfield leading the charge (5 goals). This firepower makes them dangerous in any fixture.

Defensively, Farnborough and Dover are evenly matched, allowing 2.0 and 2.3 goals per game respectively.

Farnborough has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Dover has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

📈 Form Momentum: Farnborough has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: Dover is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Farnborough is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while Dover shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Farnborough faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 2.0 goals per match. If Dover can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 20.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Farnborough. In practical terms, Farnborough would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Farnborough in this contest. Their superior power rating of 46.3, compared to 26.3 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

In their recent National League N / S match (2026-04-11), Farnborough prevailed 1-3 against Dover. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Farnborough achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Dover shows genuine quality and mental strength. Dover will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Farnborough will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Farnborough

Farnborough

VS
Dover

Dover

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Farnborough

5W 1D 4L · 24 goals scored · 20 conceded

Dover

1W 1D 8L · 8 goals scored · 23 conceded

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