Fatih vs Alanyaspor Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

Context matters here: Fatih's schedule strength (SoS: 73.8) has been notably more demanding than Alanyaspor's (SoS: 47.4), meaning their underlying stats reflect performance against higher-calibre opposition and should be weighted accordingly.

Offensively, Alanyaspor outperforms Fatih with 1.7 goals per match to 1.0, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

Fatih has the defensive edge, conceding 0.9 per match compared to Alanyaspor's 1.3.

Fatih has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.4 total goals. Going Under 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Fatih has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: Alanyaspor is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Fatih is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while Alanyaspor shows signs of decline with 2W in last 10.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Fatih faces a key vulnerability: their away form is significantly weaker than their home record. If Alanyaspor can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 13.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 83% win probability for Fatih. In practical terms, Fatih would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

While Fatih holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 13.2-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

In the Turkish Super Lig (2026-05-16), Fatih beat Alanyaspor 2-1. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Fatih secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Alanyaspor will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Fatih will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.