Fatih vs Kocaelispor Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

Fatih has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 73.8) compared to Kocaelispor (SoS: 62.8). This means Fatih's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.

Fatih holds the attacking edge with 1.0 goals per match versus Kocaelispor's 0.5, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Fatih's backline outperforms Kocaelispor's, with 0.9 goals conceded per match versus 1.3.

Fatih has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 1.9 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

📈 Form Momentum: Fatih has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: Kocaelispor is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Fatih is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while Kocaelispor shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Fatih faces a key vulnerability: their away form is significantly weaker than their home record. If Kocaelispor can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 23.1-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Fatih. In practical terms, Fatih would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Fatih emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (59.5 vs 36.4) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

In the Turkish Super Lig (2026-05-09), Fatih beat Kocaelispor 0-1. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Notably, Fatih achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Kocaelispor shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Kocaelispor will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Fatih will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.