Flamengo vs São Paulo Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Flamengo vs São Paulo: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Flamengo
Home Team
São Paulo
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Flamengo
Draw
São Paulo
Statistical Comparison
7W, 2D, 1L
2W, 2D, 6L
22 / 10 matches
13 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
16 / 10 matches
+14
-3
6 / 10 matches
1 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
4W / 6 matches
2W / 5 matches
3W / 4 matches
0W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 58.8, Opponent Quality: 50.3
League Difficulty: 68.0, Opponent Quality: 59.6
0W / 1 matches
0W / 0 matches
Actual: 2.2 | Diff: -0.09
Actual: 1.3 | Diff: -0.08
Attack: 66.8, Defense: 66.8, Form: 63.8
Attack: 49.0, Defense: 52.7, Form: 22.6
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Flamengo
São Paulo
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.
São Paulo has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 63.0) compared to Flamengo (SoS: 41.1). This means São Paulo's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.
Offensively, Flamengo outperforms São Paulo with 2.2 goals per match to 1.3, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.
The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Flamengo — 0.8 goals conceded per game and 6 clean sheets put them well ahead of São Paulo, who give up 1.6 goals per match at the other end.
São Paulo has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Flamengo is a strong road performer with a 75% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.
Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.
🔥 Form Momentum: Flamengo is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 22 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.
❄️ Form Momentum: São Paulo is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Flamengo is on the rise with 7W in last 10, while São Paulo shows signs of decline with 2W in last 10.
💡 Why This Matters: The 21.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Flamengo. In practical terms, Flamengo would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
Flamengo emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (65.4 vs 43.5) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Flamengo
São Paulo
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Flamengo
7W 2D 1L · 22 goals scored · 8 conceded
São Paulo
2W 2D 6L · 13 goals scored · 16 conceded
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