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Compare Forfar vs Stranraer

Forfar vs Stranraer Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Forfar vs Stranraer: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Forfar Forfar Home Team
Stranraer Stranraer Away Team
Forfar
40.1
W L L L L D W W W W

Last 10 Matches

Stranraer
33.2
L L D L W D L W D L

Performance Radar

Forfar
Stranraer

Categories Won

9

Forfar

4

Draw

2

Stranraer

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 1D, 4L

20%

2W, 3D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

0.9

9 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
2.0

20 / 10 matches

1.5

15 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-6

-6

-6

-6

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
S. Shepherd (3 goals)
A. Quigg (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 6
Home Win Rate
67%

4W / 6 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
25%

1W / 4 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
41.9

League Difficulty: 38.5, Opponent Quality: 44.1

37.2

League Difficulty: 37.2, Opponent Quality: 37.2

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.13

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: +0.27

0.75

Actual: 0.9 | Diff: +0.15

Adjusted Power Rating
40.1

Attack: 42.9, Defense: 30.6, Form: 46.0

33.2

Attack: 26.2, Defense: 43.6, Form: 17.4

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

1
3

16-30'

3

31-45'

2

46-60'

2
2

61-75'

2
4

76-90+'

2
Forfar
Stranraer
Forfar

Power Rating Breakdown

40.1

Overall

Attack 42.9
Defense 30.6
Form 46.0
Consistency 38.8
Stranraer

Power Rating Breakdown

33.2

Overall

Attack 26.2
Defense 43.6
Form 17.4
Consistency 61.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

38.5 vs 37.2

Opponent Quality

44.1 vs 37.2

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Forfar logo Forfar
W
Brechin (36%)
L
Livingston (53%)
L
Partick (54%)
L
Hamilton (63%)
L
Hamilton (58%)
D
Annan (29%)
W
Edinburgh City (36%)
W
Stranraer (37%)
Stranraer logo Stranraer
L
Falkirk (48%)
L
Edinburgh City (41%)
D
Alloa Athletic (43%)
L
Ayr Utd (48%)
W
Elgin (28%)
D
Stirling (33%)
L
Forfar (39%)
W
Spartans (37%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Brechin H
3 - 1 W
36%
Livingston A
0 - 8 L
53%
Partick H
0 - 4 L
54%
Hamilton A
1 - 2 L
63%
Hamilton H
1 - 3 L
58%
Annan A
1 - 1 D
29%
Edinburgh City H
4 - 0 W
36%
Stranraer A
1 - 0 W
37%
East Kilbride H
1 - 0 W
52%
Elgin H
2 - 1 W
23%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Falkirk A
0 - 3 L
48%
Edinburgh City H
0 - 2 L
41%
Alloa Athletic A
2 - 2 D
43%
Ayr Utd H
2 - 3 L
48%
Elgin A
1 - 0 W
28%
Stirling H
1 - 1 D
33%
Forfar H
0 - 1 L
39%
Spartans A
2 - 1 W
37%
Dumbarton H
1 - 1 D
26%
Annan A
0 - 1 L
29%

AI Analysis

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 41.9 vs 37.2), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Forfar holds the attacking edge with 1.4 goals per match versus Stranraer's 0.9, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Stranraer's backline outperforms Forfar's, with 1.5 goals conceded per match versus 2.0.

Forfar has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Stranraer has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.9 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

📈 Form Momentum: Forfar has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: Stranraer is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Forfar is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while Stranraer shows signs of decline with 2W in last 10.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Forfar faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 2.0 goals per match. If Stranraer can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 6.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 67% win probability for Forfar. In practical terms, Forfar would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

Forfar has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 6.9-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

In their recent Scottish League Two match (2026-04-18), Forfar prevailed 0-1 against Stranraer. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Forfar achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Stranraer shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Stranraer will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Forfar will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Forfar

Forfar

VS
Stranraer

Stranraer

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Forfar

5W 1D 4L · 14 goals scored · 20 conceded

Stranraer

2W 3D 5L · 9 goals scored · 15 conceded

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