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Compare Forres vs Keith

Forres vs Keith Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Forres vs Keith: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Forres Forres Home Team
Keith Keith Away Team
Forres
36.4
W L D L L W W D L L

Last 10 Matches

Keith
54.0
L W W D W L W W W W

Performance Radar

Forres
Keith

Categories Won

3

Forres

2

Draw

10

Keith

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 2D, 5L

70%

7W, 1D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

2.2

22 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

1.2

12 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-3

-3

+10

+10

Clean Sheet
0%

0 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
C. Frame (3 goals)
T. Stephen (6 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 10
1st Half: 11 / 2nd Half: 11
Home Win Rate
25%

1W / 4 matches

80%

4W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
33%

2W / 6 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
35.2

League Difficulty: 25.0, Opponent Quality: 42.0

29.3

League Difficulty: 25.0, Opponent Quality: 32.1

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.31

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: +0.19

1.56

Actual: 2.2 | Diff: +0.64

Adjusted Power Rating
36.4

Attack: 42.6, Defense: 34.1, Form: 25.6

54.0

Attack: 58.2, Defense: 47.6, Form: 55.5

Goal Timing Analysis

3

0-15'

3

16-30'

4
1

31-45'

4
4

46-60'

4
1

61-75'

4
6

76-90+'

3
Forres
Keith
Forres

Power Rating Breakdown

36.4

Overall

Attack 42.6
Defense 34.1
Form 25.6
Consistency 49.3
Keith

Power Rating Breakdown

54.0

Overall

Attack 58.2
Defense 47.6
Form 55.5
Consistency 53.2

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

25.0 vs 25.0

Opponent Quality

42.0 vs 32.1

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Forres logo Forres
W
Keith (51%)
L
Formartine Utd (58%)
D
Clachnacuddin (36%)
L
Brechin (28%)
L
Keith (56%)
W
Wick (28%)
W
Deveronvale (22%)
D
Turriff Utd (45%)
Keith logo Keith
L
Forres (38%)
W
Rothes (15%)
W
Lossiemouth (22%)
D
Huntly (44%)
W
Forres (33%)
L
Strathspey (29%)
W
Turriff Utd (45%)
W
Nairn (34%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Keith H
5 - 1 W
51%
Formartine Utd A
1 - 2 L
58%
Clachnacuddin H
1 - 1 D
36%
Brechin H
0 - 1 L
28%
Keith A
0 - 1 L
56%
Wick A
3 - 1 W
28%
Deveronvale A
2 - 1 W
22%
Turriff Utd A
2 - 2 D
45%
Buckie Thistle H
0 - 4 L
47%
Banks O' Dee A
1 - 4 L
49%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Forres A
1 - 5 L
38%
Rothes A
5 - 1 W
15%
Lossiemouth H
5 - 0 W
22%
Huntly A
1 - 1 D
44%
Forres H
1 - 0 W
33%
Strathspey H
0 - 2 L
29%
Turriff Utd A
2 - 1 W
45%
Nairn H
2 - 0 W
34%
Inverurie H
2 - 0 W
33%
Wick A
3 - 2 W
28%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 35.2 vs 29.3), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Offensively, Keith outperforms Forres with 2.2 goals per match to 1.5, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

Keith has the defensive edge, conceding 1.2 per match compared to Forres's 1.8.

Forres has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Keith has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Keith has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Keith is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.4 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

🔥 Form Momentum: Keith is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 22 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Keith is on the rise with 7W in last 10, while Forres shows signs of decline with 3W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 17.6-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Keith. In practical terms, Keith would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on the available data, Keith holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 54.0 against 36.4 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent Highland / Lowland match (2026-07-25), Forres prevailed 5-1 against Keith. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Forres secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 5-1 scoreline was emphatic — Forres completely dominated Keith in that encounter, raising serious questions about Keith's ability to compete at this level. Keith will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Forres will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent Highland / Lowland match (2026-03-28), Keith prevailed 1-0 against Forres. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Keith secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 1-0 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Forres will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Keith will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Forres

Forres

VS
Keith

Keith

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Forres

3W 2D 5L · 15 goals scored · 18 conceded

Keith

7W 1D 2L · 22 goals scored · 12 conceded

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