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Compare Fraserburgh vs Lossiemouth

Fraserburgh vs Lossiemouth Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Fraserburgh vs Lossiemouth: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Fraserburgh Fraserburgh Home Team
Lossiemouth Lossiemouth Away Team
Fraserburgh
53.2
D W W W W W W L L W

Last 10 Matches

Lossiemouth
25.5
W D L W L L L L L L

Performance Radar

Fraserburgh
Lossiemouth

Categories Won

10

Fraserburgh

2

Draw

3

Lossiemouth

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
70%

7W, 1D, 2L

20%

2W, 1D, 7L

Goals Scored / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

0.7

7 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.9

9 / 10 matches

2.1

21 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+9

+9

-14

-14

Clean Sheet
60%

6 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
20%

2 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
S. Barbour (4 goals)
L. Harvey (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 11
1st Half: 1 / 2nd Half: 6
Home Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
83%

5W / 6 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
30.1

League Difficulty: 25.0, Opponent Quality: 33.5

32.4

League Difficulty: 25.0, Opponent Quality: 37.3

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.36

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: +0.44

0.54

Actual: 0.7 | Diff: +0.16

Adjusted Power Rating
53.2

Attack: 48.1, Defense: 56.1, Form: 56.1

25.5

Attack: 19.2, Defense: 24.7, Form: 16.5

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

2

16-30'

1
3

31-45'

1

46-60'

2
5

61-75'

1
5

76-90+'

3
Fraserburgh
Lossiemouth
Fraserburgh

Power Rating Breakdown

53.2

Overall

Attack 48.1
Defense 56.1
Form 56.1
Consistency 53.2
Lossiemouth

Power Rating Breakdown

25.5

Overall

Attack 19.2
Defense 24.7
Form 16.5
Consistency 57.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

25.0 vs 25.0

Opponent Quality

33.5 vs 37.3

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Fraserburgh logo Fraserburgh
D
Invergordon (26%)
W
Clachnacuddin (42%)
W
Nairn (39%)
W
Deveronvale (17%)
W
Strathspey (34%)
W
Rothes (15%)
W
Buckie Thistle (52%)
L
Inverurie (38%)
Lossiemouth logo Lossiemouth
W
Huntly (39%)
D
Strathspey (29%)
L
Keith (56%)
W
Rothes (15%)
L
Brora Rangers (30%)
L
Turriff Utd (40%)
L
Formartine Utd (58%)
L
Nairn (39%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Invergordon H
0 - 0 D
26%
Clachnacuddin A
4 - 2 W
42%
Nairn A
1 - 0 W
39%
Deveronvale H
5 - 0 W
17%
Strathspey A
1 - 0 W
34%
Rothes A
5 - 2 W
15%
Buckie Thistle A
1 - 0 W
52%
Inverurie A
0 - 4 L
38%
Banks O' Dee H
0 - 1 L
44%
Brechin H
1 - 0 W
28%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Huntly H
1 - 0 W
39%
Strathspey H
1 - 1 D
29%
Keith A
0 - 5 L
56%
Rothes A
3 - 0 W
15%
Brora Rangers H
1 - 3 L
30%
Turriff Utd H
0 - 2 L
40%
Formartine Utd A
0 - 3 L
58%
Nairn A
0 - 1 L
39%
Huntly A
1 - 3 L
44%
Wick H
0 - 3 L
23%

AI Analysis

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 30.1 vs 32.4), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Few sides can match Fraserburgh in front of goal. Their 1.8 average per fixture tells the story, with S. Barbour driving that output personally responsible for 4 goals this campaign.

Fraserburgh holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 0.9 goals per game and recording 6 clean sheets, compared to Lossiemouth's leaky backline that surrenders 2.1 goals per match.

Fraserburgh has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Lossiemouth has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Fraserburgh is a strong road performer with a 83% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.8 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking unlikely given current form.

🔥 Form Momentum: Fraserburgh is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 18 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

❄️ Form Momentum: Lossiemouth is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Fraserburgh is on the rise with 7W in last 10, while Lossiemouth shows signs of decline with 2W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 27.7-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Fraserburgh. In practical terms, Fraserburgh would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Fraserburgh in this contest. Their superior power rating of 53.2, compared to 25.5 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Fraserburgh

Fraserburgh

VS
Lossiemouth

Lossiemouth

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Fraserburgh

7W 1D 2L · 18 goals scored · 9 conceded

Lossiemouth

2W 1D 7L · 7 goals scored · 21 conceded

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