Fredrikstad vs Bodø/Glimt Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

Bodø/Glimt has earned their numbers the hard way, posting a SoS of 61.9 against considerably stronger competition than Fredrikstad (SoS: 36.0). Their figures deserve greater analytical credence as a result — forged against genuinely difficult opponents.

Few sides can match Bodø/Glimt in front of goal. Their 2.6 average per fixture tells the story, with A. Helmersen driving that output personally responsible for 6 goals this campaign.

Both defenses are comparable, with Fredrikstad conceding 1.2 and Bodø/Glimt conceding 0.9 per match.

Bodø/Glimt has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 3 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Bodø/Glimt has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Bodø/Glimt is a strong road performer with a 67% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.8 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Fredrikstad has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

🔥 Form Momentum: Bodø/Glimt is in scorching form, winning 8 of their last 10 matches with 26 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Bodø/Glimt is on the rise with 8W in last 10, while Fredrikstad shows signs of decline with 5W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 48.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Bodø/Glimt. In practical terms, Bodø/Glimt would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Bodø/Glimt is the clear and dominant favorite. With a power rating of 87.7 vs 39.4, and superior metrics across the board, Bodø/Glimt should win this comfortably.

In their recent Norwegian Eliteserien match (2026-07-17), Bodø/Glimt prevailed 1-0 against Fredrikstad. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Bodø/Glimt secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 1-0 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Fredrikstad will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Bodø/Glimt will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.