Fredrikstad vs HamKam Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 36.0 vs 38.8), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Fredrikstad (0.9 goals per match) and HamKam (1.2 goals per match) present comparable offensive threats, making this an evenly contested attacking matchup.

Defensively, Fredrikstad holds the advantage — allowing just 1.2 goals per game against HamKam's 1.8.

Fredrikstad has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Statistical modeling projects 2.5 goals in this fixture. The data points Under 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Fredrikstad has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: HamKam is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Fredrikstad is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while HamKam shows signs of decline with 2W in last 10.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Fredrikstad faces a key vulnerability: their away form is significantly weaker than their home record. If HamKam can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 5.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 63% win probability for Fredrikstad. In practical terms, Fredrikstad would win 6 out of 10 such matchups.

Fredrikstad has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 5.3-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

In their recent Norwegian Eliteserien match (2026-05-16), Fredrikstad prevailed 2-1 against HamKam. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Fredrikstad secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. HamKam will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Fredrikstad will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.