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Compare Freiburg vs Arka

Freiburg vs Arka Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Freiburg vs Arka: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Freiburg Freiburg Home Team
Arka Arka Away Team
Freiburg
49.1
L W L W D L L L W W

Last 10 Matches

Arka
30.1
L L D D L L D W L D

Performance Radar

Freiburg
Arka

Categories Won

13

Freiburg

1

Draw

1

Arka

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 1D, 5L

10%

1W, 4D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.7

17 / 10 matches

0.9

9 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.9

19 / 10 matches

2.0

20 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-2

-2

-11

-11

Clean Sheet
0%

0 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
90%

9 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
80%

8 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
I. Matanović (4 goals)
V. Gutkovskis (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 7
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 5
Home Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
63.0

League Difficulty: 84.0, Opponent Quality: 66.1

42.0

League Difficulty: 57.0, Opponent Quality: 55.0

Elite Opponent Record
25%

1W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.2

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: -0.5

0.91

Actual: 0.9 | Diff: -0.01

Adjusted Power Rating
49.1

Attack: 64.0, Defense: 41.4, Form: 45.2

30.1

Attack: 27.6, Defense: 30.7, Form: 9.2

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

1
7

16-30'

1
3

31-45'

1
2

46-60'

5
3

61-75'

2

76-90+'

1
Freiburg
Arka
Freiburg

Power Rating Breakdown

49.1

Overall

Attack 64.0
Defense 41.4
Form 45.2
Consistency 39.7
Arka

Power Rating Breakdown

30.1

Overall

Attack 27.6
Defense 30.7
Form 9.2
Consistency 75.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

84.0 vs 57.0

Opponent Quality

66.1 vs 55.0

Elite Opponent Record

25% vs 0%
Freiburg logo Freiburg
L
Aston Villa (73%)
W
Leipzig (74%)
L
Hamburg (65%)
W
Braga (66%)
D
Wolfsburg (57%)
L
Braga (71%)
L
Dortmund (81%)
L
Stuttgart (54%)
Arka logo Arka
L
Raków (65%)
L
Nieciecza (43%)
D
Górnik (64%)
D
Lech (72%)
L
Piast (54%)
L
Jagiellonia (59%)
D
Cracovia (49%)
W
Zagłębie (39%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Aston Villa H
0 - 3 L
73%
Leipzig H
4 - 1 W
74%
Hamburg A
2 - 3 L
65%
Braga H
3 - 1 W
66%
Wolfsburg H
1 - 1 D
57%
Braga A
1 - 2 L
71%
Dortmund A
0 - 4 L
81%
Stuttgart A
1 - 2 L
54%
Heidenheim H
2 - 1 W
62%
Celta Vigo A
3 - 1 W
58%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Raków A
0 - 3 L
65%
Nieciecza H
2 - 3 L
43%
Górnik H
0 - 0 D
64%
Lech A
1 - 1 D
72%
Piast A
1 - 4 L
54%
Jagiellonia H
0 - 3 L
59%
Cracovia A
2 - 2 D
49%
Zagłębie H
3 - 1 W
39%
Kielce A
0 - 3 L
51%
Widzew H
0 - 0 D
54%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Freiburg has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 63.0) compared to Arka (SoS: 42.0). This means Freiburg's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Freiburg holds the attacking edge with 1.7 goals per match versus Arka's 0.9, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Freiburg conceding 1.9 and Arka conceding 2.0 per match.

Freiburg has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.2 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Freiburg emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (49.1 vs 30.1) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Freiburg

Freiburg

VS
Arka

Arka

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Freiburg

4W 1D 5L · 17 goals scored · 19 conceded

Arka

1W 4D 5L · 9 goals scored · 20 conceded

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