Freiburg vs Genk Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Freiburg vs Genk: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Freiburg
Home Team
Genk
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Freiburg
Draw
Genk
Statistical Comparison
4W, 1D, 5L
3W, 4D, 3L
17 / 10 matches
11 / 10 matches
19 / 10 matches
12 / 10 matches
-2
-1
0 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
9 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
3W / 5 matches
1W / 3 matches
1W / 5 matches
2W / 7 matches
League Difficulty: 84.0, Opponent Quality: 67.8
League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 48.9
2W / 3 matches
0W / 0 matches
Actual: 1.7 | Diff: -0.53
Actual: 1.1 | Diff: +0.07
Attack: 70.3, Defense: 45.5, Form: 49.6
Attack: 35.7, Defense: 58.4, Form: 29.2
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Freiburg
Genk
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.
Freiburg has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 74.1) compared to Genk (SoS: 47.3). This means Freiburg's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.
Freiburg leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.7 goals per game compared to Genk's 1.1 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.
Defensively, Genk holds the advantage — allowing just 1.2 goals per game against Freiburg's 1.9.
Freiburg has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 3 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.
Genk has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.9 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.
⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Freiburg faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.9 goals per match. If Genk can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.
💡 Why This Matters: The 10.6-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 76% win probability for Freiburg. In practical terms, Freiburg would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
The numbers lean toward Freiburg, with a 10.6-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Freiburg
Genk
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Freiburg
4W 1D 5L · 17 goals scored · 19 conceded
Genk
3W 4D 3L · 11 goals scored · 12 conceded
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