Fulham vs Liverpool Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (65.3 vs 66.4), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Few sides can match Liverpool in front of goal. Their 1.7 average per fixture tells the story, with V. van Dijk driving that output personally responsible for 3 goals this campaign.

Defensively, Fulham holds the advantage — allowing just 1.0 goals per game against Liverpool's 1.7.

Fulham has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Liverpool has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.5 total goals. Going Under 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Liverpool faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.7 goals per match. If Fulham can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 7.5-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 69% win probability for Liverpool. In practical terms, Liverpool would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Liverpool, with a 7.5-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

In the Premier League (2026-04-11), Liverpool beat Fulham 2-0. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Liverpool secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Fulham will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Liverpool will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.