Fulham vs Newcastle Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but when we adjust for opponent quality, the picture becomes even more intriguing. Both teams have earned their statistics against comparable opposition.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 65.3 vs 66.0), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Newcastle leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.4 goals per game compared to Fulham's 0.7 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Fulham's backline outperforms Newcastle's, with 1.0 goals conceded per match versus 1.3.

Fulham has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Newcastle has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 2 of 7 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Statistical modeling projects 2.2 goals in this fixture. The data points Under 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Newcastle faces a key vulnerability: they have kept only 1 clean sheets in their last 10 matches. If Fulham can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: Newcastle's superior Strength of Schedule means their statistics were earned against tougher opponents. A team that performs well against strong opposition is more likely to maintain that level in any given match.

In the Premier League (2026-05-24), Fulham beat Newcastle 2-0. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Fulham secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Newcastle will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Fulham will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.