Gambia vs Iran Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 48.6 vs 54.1), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Gambia leads the attacking statistics, averaging 2.4 goals per game compared to Iran's 1.6 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Iran — 0.6 goals conceded per game and 6 clean sheets put them well ahead of Gambia, who give up 1.7 goals per match at the other end.

Iran has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Statistical modeling projects 3.1 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Gambia has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.56 points per game over their last 9 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Iran has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 5.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 63% win probability for Iran. In practical terms, Iran would win 6 out of 10 such matchups.

Iran has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 5.3-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

In their recent Internationals match (2026-05-29), Iran prevailed 3-1 against Gambia. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Iran secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Gambia will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Iran will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.