Gambia vs Uganda Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Gambia vs Uganda: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Gambia
Home Team
Uganda
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Gambia
Draw
Uganda
Statistical Comparison
4W, 2D, 3L
5W, 1D, 4L
22 / 9 matches
15 / 10 matches
15 / 9 matches
15 / 10 matches
+7
0
2 / 9 matches
3 / 10 matches
7 / 9 matches
7 / 10 matches
7 / 9 matches
6 / 10 matches
1W / 2 matches
4W / 6 matches
3W / 7 matches
1W / 4 matches
League Difficulty: 71.1, Opponent Quality: 57.7
League Difficulty: 61.5, Opponent Quality: 48.8
0W / 1 matches
0W / 1 matches
Actual: 2.4 | Diff: -0.21
Actual: 1.5 | Diff: +0.15
Attack: 78.9, Defense: 42.7, Form: 43.4
Attack: 45.9, Defense: 45.9, Form: 45.9
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Gambia
Uganda
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.
Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 48.6 vs 41.7), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.
Offensively, Gambia outperforms Uganda with 2.4 goals per match to 1.5, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.
Defensively, Gambia and Uganda are evenly matched, allowing 1.7 and 1.5 goals per game respectively.
Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.5 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.
📈 Form Momentum: Gambia has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.56 points per game over their last 9 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
📈 Form Momentum: Uganda has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Gambia faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.7 goals per match. If Uganda can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.
💡 Why This Matters: The 9.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 74% win probability for Gambia. In practical terms, Gambia would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.
Gambia has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 9.4-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.
These two teams drew 1-1 in the Internationals (2025-06-09). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Gambia
Uganda
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Gambia
4W 2D 3L · 22 goals scored · 15 conceded
Uganda
5W 1D 4L · 15 goals scored · 15 conceded
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