Genk vs Charleroi Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 47.3 vs 47.4), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Genk (1.1 goals per match) and Charleroi (1.4 goals per match) present comparable offensive threats, making this an evenly contested attacking matchup.

Both defenses are comparable, with Genk conceding 1.2 and Charleroi conceding 0.9 per match.

Genk has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Charleroi has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Statistical modeling projects 2.3 goals in this fixture. The data points Under 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Charleroi has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 10.6-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 76% win probability for Charleroi. In practical terms, Charleroi would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Charleroi has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 10.6-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent Belgian First Division A match (2026-05-02), Charleroi prevailed 2-0 against Genk. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Charleroi secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Genk will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Charleroi will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams drew 1-1 in the Belgian First Division A (2026-04-21). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.