Genoa vs Roma Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 58.9 vs 56.5), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Roma's attack is on another level, averaging 2.3 goals per match with D. Malen leading the charge (8 goals). This firepower makes them dangerous in any fixture.

Defensively, Genoa and Roma are evenly matched, allowing 1.2 and 1.1 goals per game respectively.

Genoa has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Roma has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Roma is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

🔥 Form Momentum: Roma is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 23 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Roma is on the rise with 7W in last 10, while Genoa shows signs of decline with 3W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 29.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Roma. In practical terms, Roma would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Roma in this contest. Their superior power rating of 73.3, compared to 43.9 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.