Georgia vs Turkey Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

Turkey has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 68.0) compared to Georgia (SoS: 56.3). This means Turkey's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.

Turkey leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.9 goals per game compared to Georgia's 1.4 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Turkey holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 0.9 goals per game and recording 4 clean sheets, compared to Georgia's leaky backline that surrenders 1.8 goals per match.

Georgia has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Turkey has an exceptional home record with a 83% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

🔥 Form Momentum: Turkey is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 19 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Turkey is on the rise with 7W in last 10, while Georgia shows signs of decline with 3W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 33.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Turkey. In practical terms, Turkey would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Our opponent-adjusted metrics point overwhelmingly in one direction: Turkey holds a commanding advantage here. The power rating gap — 75.8 against 42.5 — reinforces what the underlying numbers already suggest, making Turkey a strong and justified favorite to win decisively.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - European (2025-10-14): Turkey defeated Georgia 4-1. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Turkey's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Georgia. Turkey secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 4-1 scoreline was emphatic — Turkey completely dominated Georgia in that encounter, raising serious questions about Georgia's ability to compete at this level. Georgia will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Turkey will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - European (2025-09-04): Turkey defeated Georgia 2-3. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Turkey's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Georgia. Notably, Turkey achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Georgia shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 2-3 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Georgia will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Turkey will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.