Germany vs Austria Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

Austria has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 51.7) compared to Germany (SoS: 35.3). This means Austria's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.

Few sides can match Germany in front of goal. Their 2.1 average per fixture tells the story, with V. Endemann driving that output personally responsible for 3 goals this campaign.

Germany has the defensive edge, conceding 0.6 per match compared to Austria's 1.4.

Austria has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Germany has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Statistical modeling projects 2.5 goals in this fixture. The data points Under 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at unlikely based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Germany has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.1 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: Austria is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Germany is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Austria shows signs of decline with 2W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 22.8-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Germany. In practical terms, Germany would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Germany in this contest. Their superior power rating of 59.5, compared to 36.7 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams drew 0-0 in the Women's European World Cup Qualifiers (2026-04-18). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning. These two teams met recently in the Women's European World Cup Qualifiers (2026-04-14): Germany defeated Austria 5-1. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Germany's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Austria. Germany secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 5-1 scoreline was emphatic — Germany completely dominated Austria in that encounter, raising serious questions about Austria's ability to compete at this level. Austria will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Germany will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.