Ghana vs Panama Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 58.7 vs 54.9), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Offensively, Panama outperforms Ghana with 1.1 goals per match to 0.5, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

The defensive records are closely aligned, with Ghana giving up 1.6 and Panama giving up 1.7 per fixture.

Ghana has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 8 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Panama has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Ghana has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.5 total goals. Going Under 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.

❄️ Form Momentum: Ghana is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

❄️ Form Momentum: Panama is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Panama faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.7 goals per match. If Ghana can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 5.8-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 64% win probability for Panama. In practical terms, Panama would win 6 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Panama, with a 5.8-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup (2026-06-18): Ghana defeated Panama 1-0. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Ghana's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Panama. Ghana secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 1-0 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Panama will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Ghana will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.