Girona vs Alavés Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 56.6 vs 64.4), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Alavés leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.4 goals per game compared to Girona's 1.0 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

The defensive records are closely aligned, with Girona giving up 1.3 and Alavés giving up 1.4 per fixture.

Girona has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Alavés has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 2 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Statistical modeling projects 2.5 goals in this fixture. The data points Under 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: Girona is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Alavés has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Alavés is on the rise with 4W in last 10, while Girona shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Alavés faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.4 goals per match. If Girona can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 12.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 81% win probability for Alavés. In practical terms, Alavés would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

While Alavés holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 12.3-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

In their recent Club Friendlies match (2026-07-25), Alavés prevailed 0-1 against Girona. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Alavés achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Girona shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Girona will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Alavés will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.