Glenavon vs Ballymena Utd Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 47.7 vs 46.3), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Ballymena Utd possess a formidable attacking unit, with S. Edogun accounting for 3 goals and the squad maintaining an impressive 2.1 goals per game — a threat no opponent can afford to overlook.

Defensively, Ballymena Utd holds the advantage — allowing just 1.4 goals per game against Glenavon's 1.7.

Glenavon has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Ballymena Utd has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.0 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

❄️ Form Momentum: Glenavon is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Ballymena Utd has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Ballymena Utd is on the rise with 4W in last 10, while Glenavon shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Ballymena Utd faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.4 goals per match. If Glenavon can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 19.5-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Ballymena Utd. In practical terms, Ballymena Utd would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Ballymena Utd emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (52.2 vs 32.7) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams drew 1-1 in the Club Friendlies (2026-08-01). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning. These two teams drew 1-1 in the Irish Premiership (2026-04-07). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.