Greece vs Belarus Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Belarus has earned their numbers the hard way, posting a SoS of 64.1 against considerably stronger competition than Greece (SoS: 53.0). Their figures deserve greater analytical credence as a result — forged against genuinely difficult opponents.

Belarus holds the attacking edge with 2.0 goals per match versus Greece's 1.7, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Belarus has the defensive edge, conceding 0.4 per match compared to Greece's 1.0.

Greece has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Belarus has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 3 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Belarus has an exceptional home record with a 75% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Belarus is a strong road performer with a 83% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.6 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being unlikely.

📈 Form Momentum: Greece has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.89 points per game over their last 9 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

🔥 Form Momentum: Belarus is in scorching form, winning 8 of their last 10 matches with 20 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Belarus is on the rise with 8W in last 10, while Greece shows signs of decline with 5W in last 9.

💡 Why This Matters: The 23.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Belarus. In practical terms, Belarus would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Belarus in this contest. Their superior power rating of 83.4, compared to 59.5 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

In their recent Internationals Women match (2025-11-29), Greece prevailed 2-0 against Belarus. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Greece secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Belarus will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Greece will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.