Greece vs Georgia Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 53.0 vs 52.6), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Offensively, Greece outperforms Georgia with 1.7 goals per match to 1.1, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

Defensively, Greece holds the advantage — allowing just 1.0 goals per game against Georgia's 1.7.

Greece has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Georgia has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

📈 Form Momentum: Greece has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.89 points per game over their last 9 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: Georgia is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 7 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Greece is on the rise with 5W in last 9, while Georgia shows signs of decline with 1W in last 7.

💡 Why This Matters: The 22.7-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Greece. In practical terms, Greece would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on the available data, Greece holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 59.5 against 36.8 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams met recently in the Women's European World Cup Qualifiers (2026-06-09): Greece defeated Georgia 2-3. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Greece's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Georgia. Notably, Greece achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Georgia shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 2-3 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Georgia will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Greece will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams met recently in the Women's European World Cup Qualifiers (2026-03-03): Greece defeated Georgia 3-0. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Greece's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Georgia. Greece secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 3-0 scoreline was emphatic — Greece completely dominated Georgia in that encounter, raising serious questions about Georgia's ability to compete at this level. Georgia will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Greece will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.