Greece vs Belarus Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

On paper, these teams are closely aligned, and the data backs that up. Raw statistics can be misleading without context, but strength-of-opponent adjustments reinforce just how competitive this matchup is. Neither side has padded their numbers against weak opposition.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 56.9 vs 55.9), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Greece (1.2 goals per match) and Belarus (1.3 goals per match) present comparable offensive threats, making this an evenly contested attacking matchup.

Greece's backline outperforms Belarus's, with 1.6 goals conceded per match versus 2.1.

Greece has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Statistical modeling projects 3.1 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: Greece is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: In matches this evenly balanced, the deciding factor often comes down to set pieces and individual errors. Both teams should be wary of complacency in a match where neither side has a clear edge.

💡 Why This Matters: Greece's superior Strength of Schedule means their statistics were earned against tougher opponents. A team that performs well against strong opposition is more likely to maintain that level in any given match.

The data offers no clear edge here. These sides are separated by the finest of margins across every key metric, making the final result almost impossible to call in advance.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams drew 0-0 in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - European (2025-11-18). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning. These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - European (2025-09-05): Greece defeated Belarus 5-1. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Greece's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Belarus. Greece secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 5-1 scoreline was emphatic — Greece completely dominated Belarus in that encounter, raising serious questions about Belarus's ability to compete at this level. Belarus will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Greece will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.