Greece vs Denmark Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 56.9 vs 55.1), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Denmark possess a formidable attacking unit, with R. Højlund accounting for 5 goals and the squad maintaining an impressive 2.4 goals per game — a threat no opponent can afford to overlook.

Denmark's backline outperforms Greece's, with 1.0 goals conceded per match versus 1.6.

Greece has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.1 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.

❄️ Form Momentum: Greece is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Denmark has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Denmark is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while Greece shows signs of decline with 2W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 26.8-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Denmark. In practical terms, Denmark would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Denmark in this contest. Their superior power rating of 67.7, compared to 40.9 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - European (2025-10-12): Denmark defeated Greece 3-1. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Denmark's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Greece. Denmark secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Greece will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Denmark will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - European (2025-09-08): Denmark defeated Greece 0-3. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Denmark's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Greece. Notably, Denmark achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Greece shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 0-3 scoreline was emphatic — Denmark completely dominated Greece in that encounter, raising serious questions about Greece's ability to compete at this level. Greece will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Denmark will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.