Grenada vs Anguilla Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 49.3 vs 47.8), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Few sides can match Grenada in front of goal. Their 2.1 average per fixture tells the story, with J. Francis driving that output personally responsible for 2 goals this campaign.

Grenada holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 1.7 goals per game and recording 3 clean sheets, compared to Anguilla's leaky backline that surrenders 3.0 goals per match.

Statistical modeling projects 3.8 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at unlikely based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Grenada has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: Anguilla is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 7 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Grenada is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Anguilla shows signs of decline with 2W in last 7.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Grenada faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.7 goals per match. If Anguilla can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 32.7-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Grenada. In practical terms, Grenada would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Grenada is the clear and dominant favorite. With a power rating of 54.8 vs 22.1, and superior metrics across the board, Grenada should win this comfortably.

In their recent Internationals match (2025-06-01), Grenada prevailed 2-0 against Anguilla. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Grenada secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Anguilla will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Grenada will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.