Grenada vs Cuba Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 49.3 vs 48.9), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Grenada's attack is on another level, averaging 2.1 goals per match with J. Francis leading the charge (2 goals). This firepower makes them dangerous in any fixture.

Both defenses are comparable, with Grenada conceding 1.7 and Cuba conceding 1.9 per match.

Cuba has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.3 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being unlikely.

📈 Form Momentum: Grenada has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: Cuba is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 7 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Grenada is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Cuba shows signs of decline with 2W in last 7.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Grenada faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.7 goals per match. If Cuba can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 20.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Grenada. In practical terms, Grenada would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Grenada emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (54.8 vs 33.9) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

In their recent Internationals match (2025-10-12), Grenada prevailed 2-0 against Cuba. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Grenada secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Cuba will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Grenada will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.