Grenada vs Rwanda Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 49.3 vs 47.3), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Few sides can match Grenada in front of goal. Their 2.1 average per fixture tells the story, with J. Francis driving that output personally responsible for 2 goals this campaign.

Rwanda's backline outperforms Grenada's, with 1.0 goals conceded per match versus 1.7.

Statistical modeling projects 2.9 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at unlikely based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Grenada has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Grenada is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Rwanda shows signs of decline with 3W in last 7.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Grenada faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.7 goals per match. If Rwanda can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 11.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 78% win probability for Grenada. In practical terms, Grenada would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Grenada, with a 11.2-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

In their recent Internationals match (2026-03-27), Rwanda prevailed 4-0 against Grenada. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Rwanda secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 4-0 scoreline was emphatic — Rwanda completely dominated Grenada in that encounter, raising serious questions about Grenada's ability to compete at this level. Grenada will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Rwanda will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.