Grimsby vs Notts Co Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Grimsby vs Notts Co: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Grimsby
Home Team
Notts Co
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Grimsby
Draw
Notts Co
Statistical Comparison
4W, 4D, 2L
2W, 6D, 2L
17 / 10 matches
10 / 10 matches
10 / 10 matches
10 / 10 matches
+7
0
5 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
3W / 4 matches
1W / 5 matches
1W / 6 matches
1W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 43.5, Opponent Quality: 46.9
League Difficulty: 43.0, Opponent Quality: 48.0
0W / 0 matches
0W / 0 matches
Actual: 1.7 | Diff: +0.21
Actual: 1.0 | Diff: +0.02
Attack: 54.1, Defense: 63.7, Form: 38.2
Attack: 32.0, Defense: 64.0, Form: 19.2
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Grimsby
Notts Co
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.
Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 45.5 vs 46.0), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.
Grimsby holds the attacking edge with 1.7 goals per match versus Notts Co's 1.0, though the gap isn't insurmountable.
The defensive records are closely aligned, with Grimsby giving up 1.0 and Notts Co giving up 1.0 per fixture.
Grimsby has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Notts Co has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Grimsby has an exceptional home record with a 75% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.
Statistical modeling projects 2.4 goals in this fixture. The data points Under 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.
📈 Form Momentum: Grimsby has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
❄️ Form Momentum: Notts Co is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Grimsby faces a key vulnerability: their away form is significantly weaker than their home record. If Notts Co can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.
💡 Why This Matters: The 10.1-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 75% win probability for Grimsby. In practical terms, Grimsby would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
The numbers lean toward Grimsby, with a 10.1-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Grimsby
Notts Co
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Grimsby
4W 4D 2L · 17 goals scored · 10 conceded
Notts Co
2W 6D 2L · 10 goals scored · 10 conceded
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