Guatemala vs Algeria Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

Context matters here: Algeria's schedule strength (SoS: 59.7) has been notably more demanding than Guatemala's (SoS: 41.6), meaning their underlying stats reflect performance against higher-calibre opposition and should be weighted accordingly.

Offensively, Algeria outperforms Guatemala with 1.8 goals per match to 0.9, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

Defensively, Algeria is far superior, conceding just 1.1 goals per match with 5 clean sheets, while Guatemala leaks 2.1 goals per match.

Guatemala has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Algeria has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Algeria is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being unlikely.

❄️ Form Momentum: Guatemala is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Algeria has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Algeria is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while Guatemala shows signs of decline with 2W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 30.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Algeria. In practical terms, Algeria would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Accounting for opponent quality throughout our evaluation, Algeria emerges as the heavy favorite by every measurable indicator. A power rating of 60.4 compared to 29.5, combined with across-the-board statistical superiority, projects Algeria as the likely winner and by a comfortable margin.

In their recent Internationals match (2026-03-27), Algeria prevailed 7-0 against Guatemala. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Algeria secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 7-0 scoreline was emphatic — Algeria completely dominated Guatemala in that encounter, raising serious questions about Guatemala's ability to compete at this level. Guatemala will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Algeria will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.