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Compare Guatemala vs Jamaica

Guatemala vs Jamaica Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Guatemala vs Jamaica: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Guatemala Guatemala Home Team
Jamaica Jamaica Away Team
Guatemala
29.5
L L L L W L W D D L

Last 10 Matches

Jamaica
50.7
L L W L W W D D W L

Performance Radar

Guatemala
Jamaica

Categories Won

4

Guatemala

2

Draw

9

Jamaica

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
20%

2W, 2D, 6L

40%

4W, 2D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match
0.9

9 / 10 matches

0.9

9 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
2.1

21 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-12

-12

+1

+1

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Ó. Santis (3 goals)
S. Nicholson (1 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 2 / 2nd Half: 7
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 4
Home Win Rate
33%

1W / 3 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
14%

1W / 7 matches

50%

3W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
41.6

League Difficulty: 59.0, Opponent Quality: 51.4

61.9

League Difficulty: 65.0, Opponent Quality: 54.7

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 3 matches

67%

2W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
0.75

Actual: 0.9 | Diff: +0.15

0.88

Actual: 0.9 | Diff: +0.02

Adjusted Power Rating
29.5

Attack: 27.5, Defense: 27.5, Form: 18.3

50.7

Attack: 33.6, Defense: 82.1, Form: 44.8

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

1

16-30'

3
2

31-45'

1
3

46-60'

1
4

61-75'

76-90+'

3
Guatemala
Jamaica
Guatemala

Power Rating Breakdown

29.5

Overall

Attack 27.5
Defense 27.5
Form 18.3
Consistency 59.2
Jamaica

Power Rating Breakdown

50.7

Overall

Attack 33.6
Defense 82.1
Form 44.8
Consistency 44.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

59.0 vs 65.0

Opponent Quality

51.4 vs 54.7

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 67%
Guatemala logo Guatemala
L
Ecuador (70%)
L
Czech Republic (69%)
L
Algeria (72%)
L
Canada (71%)
W
Suriname (42%)
L
Panama (38%)
W
El Salvador (34%)
D
Suriname (47%)
Jamaica logo Jamaica
L
South Africa (57%)
L
Nigeria (72%)
W
India (65%)
L
Congo DR (65%)
W
New Caledonia (73%)
W
Grenada (70%)
D
Curaçao (38%)
D
Trinidad (37%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Ecuador A
0 - 3 L
70%
Czech Republic A
1 - 3 L
69%
Algeria A
0 - 7 L
72%
Canada A
0 - 1 L
71%
Suriname H
3 - 1 W
42%
Panama H
2 - 3 L
38%
El Salvador A
1 - 0 W
34%
Suriname A
1 - 1 D
47%
Panama A
1 - 1 D
42%
El Salvador H
0 - 1 L
29%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
South Africa H
0 - 1 L
57%
Nigeria H
0 - 3 L
72%
India A
2 - 0 W
65%
Congo DR A
0 - 1 L
65%
New Caledonia A
1 - 0 W
73%
Grenada A
1 - 0 W
70%
Curaçao H
0 - 0 D
38%
Trinidad A
1 - 1 D
37%
Bermuda H
4 - 0 W
28%
Curaçao A
0 - 2 L
42%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Jamaica has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 61.9) compared to Guatemala (SoS: 41.6). This means Jamaica's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Guatemala averaging 0.9 and Jamaica averaging 0.9 goals per match.

Jamaica holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 0.8 goals per game and recording 5 clean sheets, compared to Guatemala's leaky backline that surrenders 2.1 goals per match.

Guatemala has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Jamaica has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 3 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Statistical modeling projects 2.4 goals in this fixture. The data points Under 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at unlikely based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: Guatemala is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

💡 Why This Matters: The 21.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Jamaica. In practical terms, Jamaica would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Jamaica emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (50.7 vs 29.5) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Guatemala

Guatemala

VS
Jamaica

Jamaica

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Guatemala

2W 2D 6L · 9 goals scored · 21 conceded

Jamaica

4W 2D 4L · 9 goals scored · 8 conceded

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