Guatemala vs Suriname Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 41.6 vs 43.9), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Suriname holds the attacking edge with 1.3 goals per match versus Guatemala's 0.9, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Defensively, Suriname holds the advantage — allowing just 1.4 goals per game against Guatemala's 2.1.

Guatemala has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Suriname has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

❄️ Form Momentum: Guatemala is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

❄️ Form Momentum: Suriname is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Suriname faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.4 goals per match. If Guatemala can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 10.5-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 76% win probability for Suriname. In practical terms, Suriname would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

While Suriname holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 10.5-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - North/Central America (2025-11-19): Guatemala defeated Suriname 3-1. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Guatemala's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Suriname. Guatemala secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Suriname will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Guatemala will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams drew 1-1 in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - North/Central America (2025-10-10). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.