Guyana vs Dominica Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

Context matters here: Guyana's schedule strength (SoS: 71.0) has been notably more demanding than Dominica's (SoS: 42.6), meaning their underlying stats reflect performance against higher-calibre opposition and should be weighted accordingly.

Guyana's attack is on another level, averaging 2.4 goals per match with O. De Rosario leading the charge (7 goals). This firepower makes them dangerous in any fixture.

Defensively, Guyana is far superior, conceding just 0.6 goals per match with 2 clean sheets, while Dominica leaks 2.3 goals per match.

Dominica has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.1 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being unlikely.

📈 Form Momentum: Guyana has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.4 points per game over their last 5 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: Dominica is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 3 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Guyana is on the rise with 4W in last 5, while Dominica shows signs of decline with 1W in last 3.

💡 Why This Matters: The 61.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Guyana. In practical terms, Guyana would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Accounting for opponent quality throughout our evaluation, Guyana emerges as the heavy favorite by every measurable indicator. A power rating of 90.8 compared to 29.8, combined with across-the-board statistical superiority, projects Guyana as the likely winner and by a comfortable margin.

In their recent Internationals match (2026-03-27), Guyana prevailed 2-0 against Dominica. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Guyana secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Dominica will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Guyana will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.